The BUGS Book

A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Analysis

Author: David Lunn,Chris Jackson,Nicky Best,Andrew Thomas,David Spiegelhalter

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 1584888490

Category: Mathematics

Page: 399

View: 9047

Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for data analysis and modelling in recent years, and the BUGS software has become the most popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide. Authored by the team that originally developed this software, The BUGS Book provides a practical introduction to this program and its use. The text presents complete coverage of all the functionalities of BUGS, including prediction, missing data, model criticism, and prior sensitivity. It also features a large number of worked examples and a wide range of applications from various disciplines. The book introduces regression models, techniques for criticism and comparison, and a wide range of modelling issues before going into the vital area of hierarchical models, one of the most common applications of Bayesian methods. It deals with essentials of modelling without getting bogged down in complexity. The book emphasises model criticism, model comparison, sensitivity analysis to alternative priors, and thoughtful choice of prior distributions—all those aspects of the "art" of modelling that are easily overlooked in more theoretical expositions. More pragmatic than ideological, the authors systematically work through the large range of "tricks" that reveal the real power of the BUGS software, for example, dealing with missing data, censoring, grouped data, prediction, ranking, parameter constraints, and so on. Many of the examples are biostatistical, but they do not require domain knowledge and are generalisable to a wide range of other application areas. Full code and data for examples, exercises, and some solutions can be found on the book’s website.
Posted in Mathematics

The BUGS Book

A Practical Introduction to Bayesian Analysis

Author: David Lunn,Chris Jackson,Nicky Best,Andrew Thomas,David Spiegelhalter

Publisher: CRC Press

ISBN: 1466586664

Category: Mathematics

Page: 399

View: 8003

Bayesian statistical methods have become widely used for data analysis and modelling in recent years, and the BUGS software has become the most popular software for Bayesian analysis worldwide. Authored by the team that originally developed this software, The BUGS Book provides a practical introduction to this program and its use. The text presents complete coverage of all the functionalities of BUGS, including prediction, missing data, model criticism, and prior sensitivity. It also features a large number of worked examples and a wide range of applications from various disciplines. The book introduces regression models, techniques for criticism and comparison, and a wide range of modelling issues before going into the vital area of hierarchical models, one of the most common applications of Bayesian methods. It deals with essentials of modelling without getting bogged down in complexity. The book emphasises model criticism, model comparison, sensitivity analysis to alternative priors, and thoughtful choice of prior distributions—all those aspects of the "art" of modelling that are easily overlooked in more theoretical expositions. More pragmatic than ideological, the authors systematically work through the large range of "tricks" that reveal the real power of the BUGS software, for example, dealing with missing data, censoring, grouped data, prediction, ranking, parameter constraints, and so on. Many of the examples are biostatistical, but they do not require domain knowledge and are generalisable to a wide range of other application areas. Full code and data for examples, exercises, and some solutions can be found on the book’s website.
Posted in Mathematics

Planet of the Bugs

Evolution and the Rise of Insects

Author: Scott Richard Shaw

Publisher: University of Chicago Press

ISBN: 022616361X

Category: Nature

Page: 240

View: 5800

Chronicles the evolution of insects and explains how evolutionary innovations have enabled them to disperse widely, occupy narrow niches, and survive global catastrophes.
Posted in Nature

Some Bugs

Author: Angela DiTerlizzi

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 1481464442

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 34

View: 6589

Originally published in 2014 by Beach Lane Books.
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

Where Are the Bugs?

Author: Sue Kassirer

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9781570829581

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 10

View: 4882

Young readers are invited to lift the flaps to see a group of ants and their friends the circus bugs defend themselves from their enemies, the grasshoppers. On board pages.
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

Getting the Bugs Out

The Rise, Fall, and Comeback of Volkswagen in America

Author: David Kiley

Publisher: John Wiley & Sons

ISBN: 9780471263043

Category: Business & Economics

Page: 302

View: 8252

The fascinating story of Volkswagen's raging success and near collapse in America After a wild ride of ups and downs for almost three decades, Volkswagen has regained its stature as one of America's most beloved auto makers. In Getting the Bugs Out, journalist and auto industry expert David Kiley tells the complete story of the rise, fall, and comeback of Volkswagen. Kiley traces the company's rise from Ferdinand Porsche's original design for the Beetle, through the Nazi era, and up to the Beetle's ascendancy during the flower-power 1960s. He explores the reasons for VW's downward spiral through the 1970s and 1980s, including the devastating management blunders that led to such failed efforts as the Rabbit, Dasher, Thing, and Scirocco, and equally catastrophic marketing initiatives, culminating in the notorious "Fahrfegnugen" series of ads. Finally, drawing upon his unique access to company insiders, Kiley tells the story of how Volkswagen achieved its phenomenal comeback beginning in the late 1990s through a combination of visionary management, cutting-edge product development, and brilliant marketing and advertising strategies. David Kiley (Anne Arbor, MI), the Detroit Bureau Chief at USA Today, is a journalist with fifteen years of experience, ten of which have been devoted to covering the auto industry. He has written extensively for Adweek and Brandweek magazines.
Posted in Business & Economics

Nasty Bugs

Author: Lee Bennett Hopkins

Publisher: Puffin Books

ISBN: 0147519144

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 32

View: 7871

A whimsical tribute to naughty and mischievous insects features sixteen pieces by children's poets including Marilyn Singer, J. Patrick Lewis, and Rebecca Andrew Loescher, and includes such satirical entries as "Ode to a Dead Mosquito" and "Termite Tune."
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

Bugs A to Z

Author: Kimberly Bayley,Caroline Lawton

Publisher: Scholastic Inc.

ISBN: 0545273307

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 29

View: 1241

An essential bug dictionary for young readers! The perfect book for all kids who are fascinated with bugs! Simple text from A to Z provides fun buggy facts and stats for every letter of the alphabet. No magnifying glass required--these pages feature larger-than-life full-color photographs of creepy crawlies, including locusts, caterpillars, beetles, flies, grasshoppers, praying mantis, and more. From ants to zebra tarantulas, Bugs A to Z will help you identify the things that buzz, walk, and fly around you every day.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

100 Bugs!

A Counting Book

Author: Kate Narita

Publisher: Farrar, Straus & Giroux (BYR)

ISBN: 0374306311

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 40

View: 9932

A boy and girl find and count 100 different bugs in their backyard in increments of ten.
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

Kids Meet the Bugs

Author: Andra Serlin Abramson

Publisher: Simon and Schuster

ISBN: 1604333243

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 96

View: 5321

Showcases species of insects from around the world, and discusses the physical characteristics, habitat, and eating habits of each.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

Bugs! Bugs! Bugs!

Author: Bob Barner

Publisher: Chronicle Books

ISBN: 1452162581

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 32

View: 4145

Pretty ladybugs, fluttering butterflies, creepy daddy longlegs, and roly-poly bugs are some of the familiar creatures featured in this whimsically illustrated insect album. Complete with an "actual size" chart and bug-o-meter listing fun facts about each bug, Bugs! Bugs! Bugs! will inform and entertain curious little bug lovers everywhere.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

The Bug Book

Author: Sue Fliess

Publisher: Penguin

ISBN: 0399543813

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 32

View: 7300

Grab your bucket and join the search for all the cool bugs outside! This fun rhyming story lists all the bugs you can imagine—creep bugs, climb bugs, sticky-slime bugs! Discover the vast world of insects in this photo-filled book.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

I Love Bugs!

Author: Philemon Sturges

Publisher: Harper Collins

ISBN: 0060561688

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 32

View: 6126

Some bugs hop. Some bugs make honey. Some bugs light up the sky! Come explore the amazing world of bugs! The friendly bugs that crawl all over these pages include hungry caterpillars, busy ants, and graceful dragonflies. Which one is your favorite?
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

The Big Book of Bugs

Author: Yuval Zommer

Publisher: N.A

ISBN: 9780500650677

Category:

Page: 64

View: 5289

Introductory spreads explain that bugs live nearly everywhere on Earth and give tips on how to become a young bug spotter. The book is divided into key groups of bugs, including beetles, moths, butterflies, bees, snails, crickets, grasshoppers, worms and spiders, all illustrated with scenic compositions. Some spreads approach the world of bugs thematically, such as bugs that come out at night, baby creepy-crawlies and life cycles, how bugs hide and show off and how some bugs love to live in your home. The text is chatty, funny and full of amazing facts.
Posted in

Wicked Bugs

The Louse That Conquered Napoleon's Army & Other Diabolical Insects

Author: Amy Stewart

Publisher: Algonquin Books

ISBN: 9781616200633

Category: Nature

Page: 288

View: 3175

In this darkly comical look at the sinister side of our relationship with the natural world, Stewart has tracked down over one hundred of our worst entomological foes—creatures that infest, infect, and generally wreak havoc on human affairs. From the world’s most painful hornet, to the flies that transmit deadly diseases, to millipedes that stop traffic, to the “bookworms” that devour libraries, to the Japanese beetles munching on your roses, Wicked Bugs delves into the extraordinary powers of six- and eight-legged creatures. With wit, style, and exacting research, Stewart has uncovered the most terrifying and titillating stories of bugs gone wild. It’s an A to Z of insect enemies, interspersed with sections that explore bugs with kinky sex lives (“She’s Just Not That Into You”), creatures lurking in the cupboard (“Fear No Weevil”), insects eating your tomatoes (“Gardener’s Dirty Dozen”), and phobias that feed our (sometimes) irrational responses to bugs (“Have No Fear”). Intricate and strangely beautiful etchings and drawings by Briony Morrow-Cribbs capture diabolical bugs of all shapes and sizes in this mixture of history, science, murder, and intrigue that begins—but doesn’t end—in your own backyard.
Posted in Nature

Beach Bugs

A Sunny Pop-up Book by David A. Carter

Author: David A. Carter

Publisher: Little Simon

ISBN: 9781416950554

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 16

View: 4099

From picnic bugs and fireflies to rollercoaster bugs on a warm summer night, this next installment of the wildly popular Bugs series captures what everyone loves about summer! Paper-over-board book has cardstock pages and includes pop-ups, flaps, and lights!
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

Bugs Galore

Author: Peter Stein

Publisher: Candlewick Press

ISBN: 0763647543

Category: Juvenile Fiction

Page: 32

View: 8191

Bugs of all shapes, colors, and sizes, including bed bugs, cute bugs, live bugs, and dead bugs, are presented in illustrations and rhyme.
Posted in Juvenile Fiction

Superbugs

An Arms Race against Bacteria

Author: William Hall

Publisher: Harvard University Press

ISBN: 0674985079

Category: Medical

Page: 236

View: 8678

Antibiotics are powerful drugs that can prevent and treat infections, but they are becoming less effective as a result of drug resistance. Resistance develops because the bacteria that antibiotics target can evolve ways to defend themselves against these drugs. When antibiotics fail, there is very little else to prevent an infection from spreading. Unnecessary use of antibiotics in both humans and animals accelerates the evolution of drug-resistant bacteria, with potentially catastrophic personal and global consequences. Our best defenses against infectious disease could cease to work, surgical procedures would become deadly, and we might return to a world where even small cuts are life-threatening. The problem of drug resistance already kills over one million people across the world every year and has huge economic costs. Without action, this problem will become significantly worse. Following from their work on the Review on Antimicrobial Resistance, William Hall, Anthony McDonnell, and Jim O’Neill outline the major systematic failures that have led to this growing crisis. They also provide a set of solutions to tackle these global issues that governments, industry, and public health specialists can adopt. In addition to personal behavioral modifications, such as better handwashing regimens, Superbugs argues for mounting an offense against this threat through agricultural policy changes, an industrial research stimulus, and other broad-scale economic and social incentives.
Posted in Medical

Buzz with the Bugs

Author: Gordy Slack

Publisher: Roberts Rinehart Pub

ISBN: 9781570982200

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 40

View: 3434

A brother and sister enter the world of insects, where they learn about such things as metomorphosis, insect anatomy, camouflage, and evolution.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction

Big Book of Bugs

Author: Theresa Greenaway,DK Publishing, Inc

Publisher: D K Ink

ISBN: 9780789465207

Category: Juvenile Nonfiction

Page: 32

View: 3441

Text and detailed photographs offer facts about a wide variety of insects, including beetles, wasps, and stick and leaf insects.
Posted in Juvenile Nonfiction